Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Finals

5/8 Game 1

Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+74.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Suzuki Daisuke ron 16,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +42.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Suzuki Daisuke● Nikaido Aki● Setokuma Naoki● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Suzuki● Nikaido● Setokuma● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,00026%23%24%27%+43.3-13.3-13.5-16.5
East 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke ron 16,000 from Nikaido Aki61%13%13%13%-43.8+1.3+42.0+0.5
East 2Draw22%16%46%16%-0.8+2.9+0.7-2.8
East 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki22%17%46%15%-0.5-13.5+15.8-1.8
East 3Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,00018%8%62%12%-9.7-6.1+23.3-7.5
East 3, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki6%3%85%5%-14.1+0.7-0.9+14.2
East 4Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori4%3%85%8%+0.8-0.2+8.0-8.7
South 1Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki2%2%94%2%-1.9-18.1+0.7+19.3
South 2Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,0000%1%96%3%-12.0+25.3-4.0-9.3
South 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 4,0000%2%95%3%-2.0-4.9+6.3+0.6
South 3Draw0%0%98%2%-1.1+3.8-1.8-0.9
South 4, 1 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 5,2000%0%98%2%+38.0-22.2-0.9-14.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)