Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/8 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+74.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Daisuke Suzuki ron 16,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +44.1 | -13.5 | -17.1 | -13.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 16,000 from Aki Nikaido | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | -40.5 | -0.9 | +40.8 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 15% | 43% | 16% | -4.8 | +2.8 | +4.5 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 23% | 15% | 49% | 14% | -0.6 | -11.8 | +13.4 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 8% | 62% | 11% | -9.2 | -6.4 | +24.0 | -8.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 7% | 3% | 85% | 5% | -13.0 | +0.6 | -1.3 | +13.8 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 4% | 3% | 85% | 8% | -0.7 | +0.3 | +7.8 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 2% | 93% | 3% | -0.9 | -18.5 | +1.8 | +17.6 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -12.7 | +26.5 | -5.5 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 3% | 92% | 5% | -2.7 | -4.8 | +6.9 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +0.5 | +2.5 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +37.7 | -22.0 | -0.9 | -14.8 |