Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/8 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+103.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Tojyo Rio ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +52.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +8.9 | -3.8 | -3.0 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 33% | 20% | 24% | 23% | +28.9 | -28.0 | -1.1 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 56% | 7% | 18% | 19% | +33.9 | -9.6 | -13.1 | -11.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 86% | 2% | 6% | 6% | -1.5 | +0.8 | +4.6 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 86% | 2% | 6% | 6% | -20.9 | +23.0 | +0.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 16,000 | 69% | 8% | 13% | 9% | -9.5 | -20.3 | +38.5 | -8.6 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 3% | 35% | 7% | -1.0 | -6.8 | -9.6 | +17.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 57% | 2% | 28% | 13% | -2.7 | -0.2 | -3.3 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 55% | 2% | 26% | 17% | -50.9 | -0.4 | -0.7 | +52.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 2% | 23% | 64% | -7.8 | -3.8 | -12.2 | +23.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 1% | 7% | 88% | -7.8 | -7.6 | -8.0 | +23.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 98% | +3.6 | -1.7 | -0.4 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -6.2 | -1.5 | +7.5 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +14.9 | -8.0 | -5.3 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -8.0 | +3.9 | +3.3 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.9 | -3.8 | -4.1 | +11.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.0 | +8.6 | -4.4 | -1.2 |