Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/11 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -3.3 | +0.7 | -0.1 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 23% | 24% | 25% | 28% | -0.3 | -2.3 | +22.2 | -19.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 20% | 43% | 17% | -0.1 | -1.9 | -2.5 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Kana Nakada | 20% | 21% | 41% | 18% | -2.3 | -25.1 | -0.3 | +27.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 18% | 8% | 38% | 36% | -3.8 | +19.4 | +2.9 | -18.5 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 18% | 18% | 43% | 22% | +24.6 | -0.6 | -2.5 | -21.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 34% | 16% | 39% | 11% | -3.2 | +11.1 | +1.7 | -9.6 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 21% | 41% | 8% | -16.8 | +41.3 | -17.1 | -7.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 64% | 20% | 4% | -6.8 | -17.0 | +29.3 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada ron 1,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 8% | 39% | 50% | 3% | -2.9 | +19.6 | -16.3 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 3% | 72% | 22% | 2% | -8.8 | +0.2 | +2.1 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 72% | 23% | 3% | +34.8 | +9.1 | -29.7 | -14.3 |