Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/11 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +41.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -5.2 | +1.3 | +0.3 | +3.6 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 22% | 27% | 25% | 26% | +0.1 | -3.9 | +22.7 | -18.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 23% | 42% | 15% | -1.0 | -1.3 | -3.0 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Nakada Kana | 20% | 21% | 41% | 18% | -1.3 | -26.9 | -1.1 | +29.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 19% | 8% | 37% | 37% | -4.5 | +20.7 | +4.2 | -20.4 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 18% | 18% | 43% | 21% | +28.2 | -0.9 | -4.5 | -22.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 36% | 15% | 38% | 10% | -6.5 | +10.0 | +2.5 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 22% | 40% | 8% | -15.8 | +41.7 | -17.9 | -8.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 64% | 19% | 4% | -8.6 | -17.2 | +31.4 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana ron 1,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 8% | 37% | 52% | 3% | -2.1 | +19.6 | -16.3 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 3% | 71% | 23% | 3% | -7.9 | +1.5 | +0.3 | +6.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 74% | 21% | 4% | +34.1 | +8.4 | -28.5 | -14.0 |