Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Final Series

5/11 Game 2

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +44.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Masato Hagiwara● Kenji Katsumata● Daisuke Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Masato● Kenji● Daisuke
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara27%26%23%24%-17.5-1.2+1.8+16.9
East 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,00015%23%25%37%-12.1+44.2-14.8-17.4
East 2, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 3,2008%60%13%19%-3.2-2.6+8.2-2.4
East 3Exhaustive draw6%60%16%18%+5.0+1.8-4.0-2.9
East 4, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara7%64%13%16%-5.3+8.1-0.6-2.3
South 1Exhaustive draw5%75%9%10%+6.8-2.8-1.6-2.3
South 1, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki7%71%11%11%-4.7+2.1+17.3-14.7
South 2Exhaustive draw2%76%17%6%+0.3-1.3+4.8-3.8
South 3, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,0002%77%16%5%-0.9+12.6-6.2-5.5
South 4Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa1%95%2%3%+4.5+0.4+7.0-11.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)