Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Finals

5/11 Game 2

Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +47.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takizawa Kazunori● Hagiwara Masato● Katsumata Kenji● Suzuki Daisuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takizawa● Hagiwara● Katsumata● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato24%25%26%26%-12.3-2.9+0.1+15.2
East 2Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,00015%24%25%36%-12.9+47.5-13.9-20.8
East 2, 1 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 3,2009%63%13%16%-4.1-3.8+8.7-0.8
East 3Draw7%60%17%17%+4.2+1.5-6.7+1.1
East 4, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato8%63%13%16%-2.9+8.0-0.5-4.7
South 1Draw5%73%10%12%+5.1-1.6-1.5-2.0
South 1, 1 honbaKatsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke7%73%9%11%-5.1+1.4+18.9-15.2
South 2Draw2%75%17%6%+2.2-1.7+3.7-4.1
South 3, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,0002%76%17%5%-2.7+12.7-5.2-4.9
South 4Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori0%95%2%3%+4.7+0.8+6.5-12.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)