Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/12 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +21.7 | -6.7 | -6.3 | -8.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 20% | 20% | 19% | -2.1 | -3.6 | -3.2 | +8.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 19% | 18% | 25% | -0.9 | +2.9 | -2.9 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,100 | 37% | 20% | 17% | 26% | +15.4 | -8.6 | -2.9 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 12% | 14% | 22% | -4.9 | +29.3 | -15.2 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 3,900 | 46% | 31% | 7% | 16% | -7.0 | -2.3 | -4.2 | +13.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Rio Tojyo | 40% | 30% | 6% | 24% | -17.1 | -4.4 | -0.5 | +22.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 27% | 6% | 43% | +37.7 | -7.6 | -6.6 | -23.5 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 17% | 3% | 18% | -14.8 | -8.1 | -4.3 | +27.2 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 13% | 3% | 43% | -14.7 | +35.0 | -7.8 | -12.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 41% | 2% | 31% | -0.5 | -10.2 | +12.0 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 33% | 5% | 33% | -4.6 | +17.2 | -7.1 | -5.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 58% | 0% | 23% | -19.7 | +22.8 | -1.0 | -2.1 |