Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/12 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 7,800 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +21.3 | -7.7 | -6.1 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 20% | 19% | 20% | -4.3 | -0.8 | +0.3 | +4.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 35% | 20% | 21% | 24% | +1.6 | +0.9 | -8.5 | +6.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,100 | 38% | 19% | 15% | 27% | +17.4 | -5.6 | -5.1 | -6.7 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 13% | 13% | 20% | -6.3 | +26.1 | -11.3 | -8.5 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 3,900 | 46% | 31% | 7% | 16% | -5.0 | -3.3 | -4.8 | +13.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Tojyo Rio | 42% | 28% | 6% | 24% | -19.5 | -1.9 | +1.4 | +20.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 27% | 7% | 42% | +36.7 | -10.4 | -7.6 | -18.8 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 15% | 4% | 20% | -13.1 | -8.4 | -6.1 | +27.6 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 41% | 10% | 3% | 46% | -16.4 | +36.9 | -6.5 | -14.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 40% | 1% | 33% | -0.1 | -8.8 | +11.8 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 29% | 34% | 4% | 33% | -4.1 | +17.8 | -6.9 | -6.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 61% | 0% | 21% | -19.7 | +21.4 | -1.2 | -0.5 |