Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/14 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kana Nakada ron 18,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada ron 18,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +43.8 | -0.8 | -44.0 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 17% | 4% | 18% | -8.0 | -4.9 | +18.1 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 54% | 17% | 11% | 18% | +2.7 | -0.4 | +18.1 | -20.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 15% | 17% | 9% | +0.4 | +7.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 18% | 14% | 8% | +5.1 | -3.3 | -3.8 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 65% | 16% | 11% | 8% | +12.1 | -0.1 | -3.0 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 80% | 10% | 7% | 4% | -0.5 | -21.0 | +22.5 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 80% | 4% | 13% | 3% | +1.1 | -6.7 | +5.4 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 0% | 13% | 3% | -22.8 | -5.7 | +35.7 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 39% | 0% | 60% | 1% | +5.2 | +3.6 | -2.5 | -6.4 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 44% | 0% | 55% | 1% | +26.7 | +3.2 | -22.0 | -7.9 |