Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/14 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nakada Kana ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +45.4 | -0.8 | -43.6 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 19% | 4% | 19% | -7.4 | -4.6 | +17.2 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 55% | 17% | 10% | 18% | +1.9 | -1.6 | +21.2 | -21.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 57% | 15% | 17% | 10% | -0.1 | +7.2 | -4.3 | -2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 59% | 19% | 14% | 8% | +4.9 | -2.1 | -3.9 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 64% | 16% | 11% | 9% | +13.7 | -1.9 | -1.5 | -10.3 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 80% | 10% | 7% | 3% | -0.7 | -20.3 | +20.5 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 81% | 4% | 12% | 2% | +1.2 | -6.6 | +4.8 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 85% | 0% | 12% | 2% | -23.3 | -5.5 | +37.4 | -8.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 38% | 0% | 60% | 1% | +5.6 | +3.2 | -3.9 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 45% | 0% | 54% | 1% | +26.2 | +3.4 | -21.5 | -8.1 |