Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/14 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+69.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -9.9 | -1.0 | +9.0 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 26% | 30% | 26% | -2.4 | +0.9 | +5.2 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 26% | 34% | 23% | -2.6 | -3.0 | -4.0 | +9.6 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 24% | 30% | 30% | -10.0 | -12.2 | +36.6 | -14.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 8% | 11% | 65% | 16% | +2.5 | -0.1 | +23.8 | -26.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 5% | 5% | 87% | 3% | -19.2 | +23.7 | -4.2 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 13% | 82% | 3% | +0.4 | -3.0 | -0.8 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 2% | 12% | 81% | 4% | -12.2 | +12.7 | +0.2 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 17% | 81% | 2% | +10.1 | -10.5 | +1.6 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 11% | 86% | 2% | -7.7 | +9.2 | -1.4 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 13% | 85% | 2% | +10.1 | -6.0 | +2.4 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 6% | 92% | 1% | +30.9 | -28.0 | +1.7 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 1% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +22.2 | -3.8 | +1.2 | -19.6 |