Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/14 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+69.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 27% | 25% | 25% | -7.7 | -2.2 | +7.2 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 25% | 30% | 26% | -5.1 | +2.6 | +4.8 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 26% | 33% | 25% | -1.8 | -7.0 | +0.5 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 20% | 34% | 30% | -9.6 | -9.6 | +32.6 | -13.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 8% | 12% | 64% | 16% | +3.0 | +1.6 | +24.4 | -29.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 4% | 5% | 88% | 3% | -18.2 | +20.2 | -3.6 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 11% | 84% | 3% | -2.5 | -0.3 | -1.9 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 2% | 13% | 81% | 4% | -8.8 | +11.8 | +0.2 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 1% | 17% | 81% | 2% | +9.0 | -10.9 | +2.1 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 11% | 86% | 2% | -7.4 | +11.3 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 15% | 83% | 1% | +9.3 | -8.4 | +3.9 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 5% | 94% | 1% | +31.3 | -26.0 | +0.8 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +22.2 | -4.7 | +1.1 | -18.6 |