Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Finals

5/15 Game 1

Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +31.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Kurosawa Saki● Nikaido Aki● Suzuki Daisuke● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kurosawa● Nikaido● Suzuki● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,10024%25%24%26%-1.7-2.7+1.7+2.6
East 2Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki22%24%27%27%-28.3-1.4-1.9+31.6
East 3Draw8%17%21%54%+3.9+0.1-4.8+0.8
East 4, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki9%18%17%56%-2.3-4.6+32.3-25.4
South 1Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke7%17%47%30%-1.8-22.9-1.6+26.3
South 2Draw3%6%37%55%-7.1+4.3+3.7-0.8
South 2, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki tsumo 8,0001%6%41%52%-2.5-11.0-11.4+24.9
South 3Nikaido Aki ron 3,200 from Sasaki Hisato0%0%14%86%+6.7-3.3-8.2+4.8
South 4Draw0%0%3%97%+5.6-4.5-2.0+0.9
South 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato0%0%2%98%-16.4+20.5-3.5-0.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)