Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/15 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -2.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 22% | 25% | 25% | 28% | -29.5 | -1.2 | -2.0 | +32.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 19% | 19% | 55% | +5.1 | -2.9 | -2.8 | +0.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 10% | 17% | 16% | 57% | -2.9 | -3.0 | +32.3 | -26.4 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 9% | 17% | 45% | 30% | -3.7 | -22.1 | -0.5 | +26.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 6% | 37% | 55% | -5.0 | +4.4 | +1.7 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 6% | 39% | 53% | -3.2 | -11.7 | -9.6 | +24.5 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 15% | 85% | +7.4 | -4.0 | -9.0 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +5.0 | -4.0 | -1.9 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -16.8 | +20.8 | -3.0 | -1.0 |