Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/5 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +16.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata ron 18,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +42.3 | -2.1 | -40.6 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 18% | 5% | 18% | -6.3 | +2.4 | -1.0 | +4.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 52% | 21% | 6% | 21% | +2.9 | -3.9 | +8.8 | -7.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 16% | 6% | 19% | -0.1 | -2.3 | +4.6 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 58% | 15% | 9% | 17% | -5.3 | +12.9 | -4.8 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 53% | 24% | 6% | 17% | +2.9 | +5.7 | -5.7 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 27% | 4% | 12% | -7.0 | +3.0 | -0.8 | +4.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 31% | 5% | 15% | -4.6 | +9.9 | -1.4 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 43% | 40% | 4% | 12% | -4.9 | +16.7 | +0.7 | -12.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,600 from HIRO Shibata | 32% | 60% | 3% | 5% | -7.3 | +4.3 | +3.1 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 71% | 4% | 5% | -4.7 | +2.7 | -13.1 | +15.1 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 11% | 80% | 0% | 9% | +5.8 | +9.2 | -6.6 | -8.4 |