Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/5 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +18.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata ron 18,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 25% | 24% | 27% | 24% | +40.5 | -1.5 | -39.6 | +0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 55% | 19% | 6% | 20% | -3.1 | +1.8 | -1.6 | +2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 54% | 20% | 6% | 21% | +2.9 | -3.8 | +10.0 | -9.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 59% | 17% | 8% | 17% | -2.2 | -1.9 | +4.7 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 57% | 16% | 9% | 17% | -3.6 | +13.9 | -4.4 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 53% | 26% | 7% | 14% | +2.0 | +4.1 | -6.1 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 56% | 27% | 5% | 13% | -6.6 | +3.4 | -1.6 | +4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 31% | 5% | 15% | -4.0 | +8.5 | -1.2 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 43% | 39% | 5% | 13% | -6.2 | +18.6 | -0.4 | -12.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,600 from HIRO Shibata | 28% | 61% | 4% | 6% | -4.5 | +2.3 | +2.9 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 69% | 4% | 6% | -5.8 | +4.0 | -12.3 | +14.1 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 12% | 79% | 0% | 9% | +5.6 | +9.5 | -6.8 | -8.2 |