Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/5 Game 2
Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shimoishi Geki ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +48.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -1.1 | -0.7 | +4.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | 24% | -4.2 | -7.3 | +6.4 | +5.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 19% | 32% | 27% | +30.5 | -3.3 | -18.2 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 47% | 17% | 16% | 20% | -1.4 | +6.2 | -1.2 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 20% | 16% | 17% | -13.7 | -8.9 | +30.7 | -8.1 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 31% | 15% | 40% | 14% | +3.7 | -29.2 | -0.1 | +25.6 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,700 | 34% | 2% | 37% | 27% | +20.8 | -5.2 | -8.7 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 63% | 0% | 19% | 18% | -21.9 | -13.3 | -13.7 | +48.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 0% | 7% | 76% | -2.9 | +5.9 | -9.2 | +6.2 |