Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/5 Game 2
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +50.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -1.4 | +0.4 | +2.7 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | 23% | -2.4 | -4.5 | +3.9 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 21% | 29% | 27% | +28.9 | -6.8 | -16.1 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 0.0 | +5.9 | 0.0 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 19% | 17% | 17% | -14.0 | -7.9 | +30.0 | -8.2 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 33% | 14% | 39% | 14% | +1.4 | -28.5 | +1.3 | +25.9 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,700 | 33% | 2% | 40% | 25% | +22.3 | -5.4 | -9.8 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 64% | 0% | 19% | 17% | -22.3 | -13.3 | -14.6 | +50.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 0% | 7% | 78% | -2.9 | +5.9 | -8.6 | +5.6 |