Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/6 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+56.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +30.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Genta Takeuchi● Saki Kurosawa● Kenji Katsumata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Genta● Saki● Kenji
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGenta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00025%24%27%25%-11.3+21.0-5.8-3.8
East 2Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,00016%40%21%23%-5.9+18.6-6.2-6.5
East 2, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00012%57%15%17%-5.8+23.1-7.7-9.7
East 2, 2 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi5%78%8%8%-2.6-4.1-1.7+8.3
East 3Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi5%76%8%11%-1.2-6.1-3.6+10.8
East 4Genta Takeuchi ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata6%71%6%17%+10.4+5.0+0.6-16.1
South 1Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,2007%80%6%8%-9.5+0.5+13.2-4.2
South 2Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,0003%84%8%6%+36.0-14.7-8.8-12.4
South 3Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,00019%67%9%5%+30.3-13.4-12.2-4.7
South 4Exhaustive draw61%36%0%4%-0.9-2.0-5.3+8.1
South 4, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa60%34%0%6%-23.4+30.4-10.9+3.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)