Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/6 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+56.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +31.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Takeuchi Genta● Kurosawa Saki● Katsumata Kenji0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Takeuchi● Kurosawa● Katsumata
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00024%23%26%26%-11.5+22.3-4.3-6.5
East 2Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,00017%41%20%22%-5.8+15.8-6.9-3.1
East 2, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 12,00012%54%16%18%-7.5+25.3-7.5-10.3
East 2, 2 honbaKatsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu5%79%8%8%+0.1-3.7-1.0+4.6
East 3Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu6%77%8%9%-3.0-6.5-2.8+12.4
East 4Takeuchi Genta ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji6%71%7%16%+10.9+3.8-1.3-13.4
South 1Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,2007%79%5%8%-10.7+0.2+15.1-4.6
South 2Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,0003%82%10%6%+38.1-13.2-12.1-12.8
South 3Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,00020%68%7%5%+30.5-14.7-10.1-5.7
South 4Draw62%35%0%3%-1.0-1.8-5.1+7.9
South 4, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki63%32%0%5%-24.3+31.1-11.3+4.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)