Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +27.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +27.6 | -27.4 | -1.8 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 10% | 21% | 23% | -8.9 | -3.4 | +14.7 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 38% | 9% | 31% | 22% | -3.0 | +2.1 | -3.2 | +4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 36% | 9% | 30% | 25% | +0.8 | -10.9 | +1.3 | +8.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 36% | 5% | 29% | 30% | -3.0 | -3.4 | +0.8 | +5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 3,900 from Aikawa Megumu | 32% | 5% | 29% | 34% | +13.4 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -11.0 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 3% | 26% | 25% | +23.8 | -3.8 | -6.1 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 75% | 1% | 15% | 9% | -2.0 | -0.9 | +3.1 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 74% | 1% | 16% | 9% | -1.3 | +2.2 | -4.9 | +4.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 1,100 | 74% | 2% | 13% | 11% | +2.1 | -5.3 | -1.0 | +4.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 78% | 0% | 11% | 11% | -2.3 | -1.1 | +6.0 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 74% | 0% | 14% | 11% | -2.8 | -0.9 | +5.3 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Aikawa Megumu | 70% | 0% | 18% | 12% | -4.7 | +0.5 | +17.1 | -12.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 60% | 0% | 34% | 5% | +10.6 | -4.1 | -6.7 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 77% | 0% | 18% | 4% | +9.5 | +1.9 | -6.6 | -4.8 |