Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/8 Game 2

Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+87.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +51.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance	Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance	Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance	Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance	Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change	Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change	Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change	Tojyo Rio Expected pt change
East 1	Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000	25%	25%	25%	25%	-13.3	-4.4	-4.5	+22.2
East 2	Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio	15%	21%	21%	43%	+0.9	-2.6	+24.1	-22.3
East 3	Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,100	17%	19%	40%	25%	+0.4	-0.1	-5.0	+4.7
East 4	Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	17%	19%	35%	29%	-1.3	+29.1	-24.3	-3.5
South 1	Shibukawa Namba ron 2,900 from Ishii Kazuma	15%	42%	18%	25%	+7.2	-8.4	-1.3	+2.5
South 1, 1 honba	Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba	20%	35%	17%	28%	-9.6	+2.6	+6.8	+0.3
South 2	Ishii Kazuma ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba	14%	36%	21%	28%	-8.7	+9.5	+1.1	-1.9
South 2, 1 honba	Ishii Kazuma tsumo 6,000	8%	46%	21%	25%	-6.0	+18.1	-6.9	-5.2
South 2, 2 honba	Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba	4%	67%	13%	16%	-20.2	-0.7	+23.8	-2.9
South 3	Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000	0%	66%	21%	13%	-6.3	-31.9	+51.6	-13.3
South 3, 1 honba	Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Shibukawa Namba	0%	6%	92%	3%	-9.2	-1.6	+10.2	+0.6
South 3, 2 honba	Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000	0%	2%	97%	2%	-4.2	-4.4	+13.6	-5.0
South 3, 3 honba	Draw	0%	0%	100%	0%	+0.2	-1.0	-1.8	+2.6
South 4, 4 honba	Ishii Kazuma ron 1,600 from Shibukawa Namba	0%	0%	100%	0%	-3.0	+7.2	+0.3	-4.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)