Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+87.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +51.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -13.8 | -3.7 | -4.3 | +21.8 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 17% | 20% | 21% | 42% | -0.4 | -1.1 | +21.6 | -20.0 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 19% | 37% | 27% | -0.4 | -3.3 | -1.2 | +4.8 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 17% | 36% | 30% | -1.2 | +33.6 | -28.5 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 15% | 44% | 15% | 26% | +10.3 | -12.5 | +1.3 | +0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 22% | 32% | 18% | 28% | -10.5 | +3.3 | +5.1 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 15% | 36% | 19% | 30% | -9.4 | +8.9 | +1.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 44% | 20% | 27% | -6.7 | +20.5 | -7.3 | -6.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 4% | 68% | 13% | 16% | -20.4 | -0.7 | +25.8 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 67% | 21% | 11% | -6.4 | -32.3 | +51.1 | -12.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 7% | 91% | 3% | -9.5 | -1.7 | +9.8 | +1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 96% | 2% | -4.1 | -5.0 | +14.3 | -5.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +0.8 | -0.9 | -2.1 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,600 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.3 | +7.2 | +0.5 | -4.4 |