Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/8 Table B Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +48.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Kei Nakabayashi● Genta Takeuchi● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kotaro● Kei● Genta● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKei Nakabayashi
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Kei Nakabayashi
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,00025%26%25%25%-10.3-5.9-5.7+21.9
East 2Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki17%22%21%41%+10.7-1.2+0.2-9.7
East 3Exhaustive draw23%20%22%35%-8.6+1.2+4.8+2.6
East 3, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,00017%20%26%36%-18.3-14.2+48.1-15.7
East 3, 2 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi7%9%67%18%-17.2+23.2-2.6-3.4
East 4Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi3%18%64%15%+0.1-27.9-1.2+29.0
East 4, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi2%6%59%33%+3.0-15.8+19.7-6.9
South 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi1%1%81%16%-16.2+4.0+12.5-0.4
South 2Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,0000%1%92%7%-10.2+31.2-7.4-13.6
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%5%89%6%+1.1+2.0-2.5-0.7
South 2, 2 honbaTaro Suzuki ron 1,300 from Kei Nakabayashi0%7%85%8%-2.7-6.3+2.0+7.0
South 3Exhaustive draw0%1%91%8%+1.1-0.7+1.1-1.6
South 3, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 5,2000%1%92%7%-1.7+16.6-4.1-10.7
South 4Genta Takeuchi ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%2%92%6%-1.0+12.6-1.1-10.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)