Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/8 Table B Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+85.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 3 honba: Aki Nikaido tsumo 24,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +51.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +2.6 | +3.7 | -7.8 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 28% | 26% | 21% | 25% | +13.7 | -6.5 | -1.8 | -5.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 22% | 19% | 21% | +3.2 | +5.4 | -6.5 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 24,000 | 39% | 25% | 15% | 21% | +51.3 | -17.6 | -15.1 | -18.6 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 7% | 4% | 4% | -2.3 | -3.7 | +1.9 | +4.2 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 85% | 5% | 4% | 6% | -0.8 | +14.8 | -12.6 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 83% | 9% | 3% | 5% | +15.7 | +0.6 | +2.0 | -18.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 3% | 1% | 1% | -1.3 | +0.6 | +3.3 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 93% | 4% | 2% | 1% | -2.4 | -8.7 | +18.4 | -7.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 93% | 3% | 3% | 1% | -3.0 | -3.6 | +5.8 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 91% | 3% | 5% | 1% | +14.1 | -0.4 | -9.0 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -1.4 | -5.0 | +15.3 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | -1.2 | +0.1 | -1.7 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -2.6 | -3.4 | +6.3 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.6 | -3.4 | -6.1 | +10.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.4 | +0.4 | +7.3 | -7.3 |