Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/8 Table B Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+85.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 3 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 24,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +50.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +5.5 | -2.1 | -5.5 | +2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 29% | 25% | 21% | 26% | +12.2 | -5.8 | -3.0 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 37% | 21% | 18% | 24% | +3.8 | +4.8 | -3.8 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 24,000 | 40% | 24% | 16% | 19% | +50.3 | -16.6 | -15.9 | -17.8 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Draw | 84% | 7% | 4% | 5% | -1.7 | -3.8 | +2.8 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 85% | 6% | 4% | 5% | -0.9 | +14.2 | -13.4 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 83% | 8% | 2% | 6% | +16.2 | -0.7 | +3.7 | -19.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 95% | 2% | 2% | 1% | -1.8 | +2.1 | +1.7 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 94% | 3% | 2% | 1% | -3.4 | -8.8 | +20.2 | -8.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 92% | 3% | 4% | 1% | -1.2 | -2.8 | +2.5 | +1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 91% | 2% | 5% | 2% | +13.1 | -0.6 | -8.6 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | -1.6 | -5.1 | +17.2 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | -0.8 | +0.2 | -2.3 | +2.9 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 99% | 1% | 1% | 0% | -1.9 | -3.6 | +6.0 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -1.2 | -2.4 | -6.0 | +9.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | -0.1 | +7.1 | -6.3 |