Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.9 | +5.6 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 7,700 from Ishii Kazuma | 23% | 29% | 23% | 25% | -2.3 | +26.8 | -1.2 | -23.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 50% | 21% | 12% | -5.4 | -12.8 | +22.6 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 37% | 38% | 10% | +37.8 | -7.9 | -22.4 | -7.6 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 45% | 29% | 18% | 8% | +0.7 | +3.3 | +2.5 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 46% | 31% | 19% | 3% | -0.5 | -24.5 | +24.9 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 44% | 12% | 40% | 3% | +26.9 | -20.9 | -6.4 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 1% | 18% | 2% | +3.0 | -11.1 | -10.7 | +18.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki | 91% | 0% | 5% | 4% | -0.1 | +18.9 | +1.6 | -20.3 |