Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | -8.4 | +7.2 | +1.7 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 7,700 from Kazuma Ishii | 22% | 29% | 24% | 25% | +0.2 | +26.7 | -2.1 | -24.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 51% | 20% | 10% | -6.9 | -13.4 | +22.3 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 37% | 38% | 10% | +39.7 | -9.2 | -22.9 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,100 | 47% | 27% | 18% | 8% | +1.8 | +5.1 | +0.1 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 49% | 30% | 17% | 4% | -2.5 | -24.0 | +27.0 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 45% | 13% | 38% | 3% | +26.7 | -21.7 | -6.1 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 0% | 17% | 2% | +3.8 | -11.2 | -11.2 | +18.5 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi | 93% | 0% | 4% | 4% | -1.0 | +18.9 | +2.5 | -20.4 |