Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/9 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +44.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Naoki Setokuma● Daisuke Suzuki● Tomohiro Miura0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Naoki● Daisuke● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNaoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma26%26%25%23%-15.3+0.2-0.8+15.9
East 2Exhaustive draw17%25%24%35%+3.2-6.6-2.3+5.7
East 3, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,00018%19%22%41%-4.9+24.8-15.0-4.8
East 4Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Miura13%38%13%36%-2.5+9.4-6.3-0.6
South 1Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,00011%47%10%32%+40.3-12.6-13.0-14.7
South 1, 1 honbaNaoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Miura40%33%6%21%+10.9-0.9-8.1-1.8
South 1, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00050%29%3%18%-22.7-13.4-8.0+44.1
South 2Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma21%16%2%61%-16.5-3.6+0.9+19.2
South 3Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,0003%4%2%91%+34.4-13.4-10.4-10.5
South 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,00026%1%0%73%-5.7-1.1-1.1+8.0
South 4, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00015%1%0%84%-28.0+31.4-2.5-0.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)