Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/9 Table B Game 1
Akutsu Shota finished 1st (+47.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Akutsu Shota's expected points by +21.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,100 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +8.7 | -4.7 | -4.0 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 23% | 21% | 25% | -3.9 | -1.4 | +7.3 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 28% | 22% | 26% | 23% | +19.6 | -3.5 | -16.2 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 43% | 18% | 16% | 23% | -2.6 | -1.5 | +5.4 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 2,600 from Asami Maki | 41% | 17% | 19% | 23% | +15.8 | -0.9 | -5.9 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 58% | 14% | 12% | 16% | -1.0 | -0.2 | -6.7 | +7.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 57% | 14% | 10% | 19% | -2.1 | +21.9 | -7.8 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 54% | 28% | 7% | 11% | -9.1 | +18.6 | -4.0 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 46% | 5% | 8% | -6.6 | -21.2 | -9.3 | +37.1 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,000 | 36% | 26% | 5% | 34% | -0.5 | -1.0 | +8.3 | -6.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 38% | 26% | 8% | 28% | +8.1 | +8.2 | -10.9 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 29% | 1% | 20% | +21.5 | -8.7 | +6.8 | -19.6 |