Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/9 Table B Game 1
Shota Akutsu finished 1st (+47.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000, which moved Shota Akutsu's expected points by +21.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 2,100 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +6.4 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 23% | 22% | 25% | -0.3 | -2.8 | +5.5 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 29% | 22% | 26% | 23% | +17.1 | -1.4 | -16.0 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 19% | 15% | 22% | -0.2 | -3.7 | +6.3 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 2,600 from Maki Asami | 43% | 17% | 20% | 21% | +13.4 | -0.6 | -4.9 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 58% | 13% | 14% | 15% | +0.3 | -0.5 | -9.8 | +10.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 58% | 13% | 9% | 20% | -3.3 | +21.6 | -4.9 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 53% | 27% | 8% | 12% | -8.1 | +18.4 | -4.6 | -5.7 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 44% | 6% | 8% | -6.1 | -20.3 | -9.3 | +35.7 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,000 | 38% | 26% | 5% | 32% | -1.2 | -1.4 | +8.0 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 38% | 25% | 7% | 29% | +8.2 | +9.2 | -11.5 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 30% | 1% | 19% | +21.0 | -9.0 | +6.8 | -18.8 |