Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/9 Table B Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Date Arisa tsumo 7,800, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -10.1 | +9.9 | -1.4 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 32% | 24% | 25% | +7.8 | -2.0 | -3.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,800 from Suzuki Yu | 24% | 30% | 21% | 24% | -17.0 | -1.3 | +20.2 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 14% | 28% | 35% | 22% | +1.0 | -32.9 | +32.5 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 7% | 66% | 17% | -6.8 | -6.0 | -10.3 | +23.1 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 6% | 53% | 33% | -5.8 | +22.2 | -2.3 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa ron 6,400 from Watanabe Futoshi | 7% | 15% | 55% | 23% | -3.8 | -18.4 | +1.7 | +20.5 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 3% | 5% | 54% | 38% | 0.0 | -8.5 | +8.8 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 1% | 66% | 31% | -11.5 | +18.7 | -2.9 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa ron 1,500 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 3% | 71% | 26% | -2.5 | +0.2 | -1.5 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 3% | 67% | 30% | -2.4 | -3.7 | -27.7 | +33.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 92% | +3.2 | -0.6 | -2.3 | -0.3 |