Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/9 Table B Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Arisa Date tsumo 7,800, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -4.5 | +12.0 | -4.1 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 33% | 22% | 24% | +5.3 | -4.3 | -0.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,800 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 28% | 23% | 25% | -16.8 | +0.2 | +18.6 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 13% | 28% | 37% | 22% | +1.9 | -33.5 | +31.5 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 7% | 66% | 17% | -7.2 | -4.1 | -10.6 | +21.9 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 7% | 53% | 32% | -6.3 | +21.1 | -1.6 | -13.1 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date ron 6,400 from Futoshi Watanabe | 8% | 14% | 55% | 23% | -3.2 | -19.2 | +0.4 | +22.0 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 3% | 6% | 51% | 40% | -0.6 | -7.2 | +9.5 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 1% | 66% | 32% | -11.0 | +18.6 | -2.8 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date ron 1,500 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 3% | 72% | 25% | -2.3 | +0.5 | -2.3 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 3% | 67% | 30% | -2.6 | -4.8 | -26.7 | +34.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 92% | +3.4 | -0.1 | -2.6 | -0.6 |