Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/12 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 23% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -11.0 | +11.6 | +0.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 18% | 32% | 25% | 25% | +3.2 | -8.4 | +3.9 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 24% | 30% | 27% | +0.5 | -3.5 | +6.4 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 24% | 33% | 24% | -2.0 | +15.0 | -6.0 | -7.1 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 35% | 27% | 20% | -10.3 | -14.0 | -12.6 | +37.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 13% | 21% | 17% | 49% | -22.4 | -0.4 | +27.6 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 4% | 19% | 37% | 40% | -5.1 | -14.8 | +17.5 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 8% | 54% | 38% | +14.4 | -20.7 | +5.1 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 1% | 1% | 63% | 35% | +10.0 | -10.6 | +3.6 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Daigo Hiroshi | 1% | 0% | 74% | 25% | +1.1 | -9.1 | -17.5 | +25.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 70% | -1.3 | -1.1 | +33.8 | -31.4 |