Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/12 Game 1
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -11.3 | +9.8 | +1.2 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 17% | 30% | 26% | 27% | +1.3 | -4.7 | +4.9 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 27% | 29% | 25% | +1.3 | -4.6 | +3.7 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 23% | 32% | 25% | -3.8 | +14.1 | -3.7 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 36% | 28% | 21% | -10.4 | -13.5 | -12.5 | +36.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 11% | 22% | 18% | 50% | -21.7 | +1.0 | +27.2 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 4% | 20% | 37% | 40% | -3.4 | -16.8 | +18.2 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 1% | 8% | 56% | 36% | +14.3 | -20.2 | +3.2 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 1% | 1% | 62% | 36% | +10.1 | -10.6 | +5.3 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Hiroshi Daigo | 1% | 0% | 76% | 24% | +0.7 | -8.5 | -18.3 | +26.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 70% | -1.3 | -1.3 | +33.9 | -31.2 |