Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+77.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akutsu Shota ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +35.1 | -1.6 | -3.8 | -29.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 19% | 19% | 8% | -12.9 | +19.8 | -2.5 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 33% | 19% | 8% | -8.7 | -17.6 | +31.5 | -5.2 |
| East 3 | Akutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 31% | 20% | 43% | 6% | +27.1 | +1.9 | -25.5 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 60% | 17% | 18% | 5% | -10.3 | -10.7 | +33.8 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 10% | 47% | 1% | -6.5 | +9.3 | -1.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 37% | 16% | 46% | 1% | -35.0 | -0.6 | +35.1 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 2% | 95% | 1% | +2.4 | -5.1 | +2.9 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -2.2 | -4.4 | +9.9 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 1,300 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.5 | +5.9 | -0.9 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.1 | -6.2 | -4.0 | +16.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -4.4 | +15.8 | +0.6 | -12.0 |