Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+77.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Shota Akutsu, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shota Akutsu ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +35.6 | -5.3 | -0.2 | -30.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 19% | 22% | 9% | -10.8 | +22.9 | -6.6 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 35% | 18% | 7% | -5.7 | -19.7 | +31.8 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 34% | 19% | 41% | 6% | +24.9 | +1.0 | -25.2 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 16% | 17% | 5% | -10.6 | -8.6 | +34.2 | -14.9 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 44% | 10% | 45% | 1% | -6.9 | +8.7 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Shota Akutsu | 37% | 16% | 46% | 1% | -36.6 | -0.5 | +36.8 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 96% | 1% | +4.7 | -6.5 | +1.3 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 0% | -3.9 | -3.2 | +9.9 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 1,300 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -1.6 | +5.5 | -1.0 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -5.2 | -5.7 | -4.1 | +15.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.6 | +15.8 | +1.0 | -11.2 |