Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/13 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+88.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 24,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +57.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +5.0 | -1.2 | -2.9 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | -1.8 | +6.9 | -4.2 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 24,000 | 27% | 28% | 21% | 24% | -21.3 | +57.4 | -18.3 | -17.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 7% | 79% | 7% | 8% | -3.7 | +4.1 | +0.2 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 82% | 6% | 7% | -8.0 | +25.9 | -8.6 | -9.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 1% | 97% | 1% | 2% | +4.0 | +13.5 | +4.3 | -21.8 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -2.6 | -11.2 | +17.0 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 98% | 2% | 0% | -11.2 | -8.7 | +30.8 | -11.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 1% | 90% | 9% | 0% | -0.3 | +7.4 | -3.1 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 96% | 4% | 0% | +12.0 | -8.6 | +0.8 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 93% | 6% | 0% | +21.2 | -4.6 | -11.9 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 92% | 5% | 0% | +1.2 | -4.0 | +2.4 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 5% | 88% | 7% | 0% | -1.7 | +2.5 | -6.2 | +5.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 1% | 95% | 4% | 0% | -16.5 | -1.4 | +17.5 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 6% | 0% | -2.8 | +11.8 | -6.9 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -17.4 | -0.1 | +0.6 | +16.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.6 | +0.5 | -1.4 | -5.8 |