Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/13 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+88.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 24,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +56.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +2.6 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | -1.5 | +8.0 | -5.1 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 24,000 | 26% | 29% | 21% | 24% | -19.9 | +56.8 | -18.0 | -18.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,500 from Rio Tojyo | 8% | 80% | 5% | 7% | -2.2 | +2.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 81% | 6% | 7% | -9.8 | +27.0 | -8.5 | -8.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 97% | 1% | 1% | +4.1 | +12.9 | +5.0 | -22.0 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 1% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -1.4 | -11.1 | +17.6 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 97% | 2% | 0% | -12.2 | -9.9 | +30.6 | -8.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 88% | 11% | 0% | +1.8 | +8.2 | -4.8 | -5.2 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 96% | 4% | 0% | +11.2 | -8.6 | +1.0 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 93% | 6% | 0% | +20.6 | -4.7 | -10.7 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 91% | 5% | 0% | +0.3 | -3.4 | +1.9 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 4% | 88% | 7% | 0% | -1.4 | +0.9 | -5.0 | +5.5 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 1% | 94% | 5% | 0% | -15.8 | -0.4 | +16.4 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 6% | 0% | -3.3 | +12.0 | -6.5 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -17.5 | 0.0 | -0.1 | +17.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.6 | +0.5 | -1.1 | -6.0 |