Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+79.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +46.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -8.4 | +10.6 | +0.4 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 19% | 34% | 24% | 23% | +0.9 | +0.2 | -7.4 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 19% | 35% | 18% | 28% | -7.2 | 0.0 | +7.3 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,400 from Takeuchi Genta | 15% | 34% | 23% | 28% | -1.6 | -9.7 | +11.3 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 26% | 31% | 28% | -12.4 | -17.3 | +46.4 | -16.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 9% | 75% | 11% | +11.1 | -2.8 | -4.4 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 10% | 8% | 72% | 10% | +1.4 | +1.6 | +18.7 | -21.7 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,600 from Asami Maki | 3% | 3% | 92% | 2% | -8.6 | +7.3 | +1.9 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 3% | 96% | 1% | -0.1 | -6.4 | +9.8 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.4 | +1.8 | -3.0 | +4.6 |
| South 4 | Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +0.8 | +10.9 | +0.9 | -12.5 |