Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+79.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +47.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -8.8 | +16.5 | -4.7 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 19% | 36% | 21% | 24% | +0.5 | -3.1 | -5.0 | +7.7 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 19% | 34% | 20% | 28% | -5.3 | +0.4 | +8.1 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,400 from Genta Takeuchi | 16% | 33% | 24% | 26% | -1.8 | -10.7 | +10.0 | +2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 25% | 31% | 29% | -13.2 | -16.5 | +47.1 | -17.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 9% | 74% | 11% | +11.0 | -3.4 | -3.5 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 8% | 8% | 74% | 10% | +0.9 | +3.3 | +17.7 | -21.9 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,600 from Maki Asami | 3% | 4% | 91% | 1% | -8.0 | +6.6 | +1.6 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 94% | 1% | -0.8 | -6.5 | +10.3 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.2 | +0.6 | -2.8 | +5.4 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Arisa Date | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +1.4 | +11.3 | +0.8 | -13.6 |