Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/15 Game 2

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Genta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +20.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Genta Takeuchi● Hisato Sasaki● Taro Suzuki● Tomohiro Honda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Hisato● Taro● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGenta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
East 1Genta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki25%25%24%26%+7.3-6.4+0.8-1.7
East 1, 1 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki29%20%26%25%-2.1-2.1-21.7+26.0
East 2Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda25%19%13%43%+3.3-0.9+16.9-19.3
East 3Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki30%18%22%30%+7.9-5.5-1.4-0.9
East 4Exhaustive draw38%16%18%28%-3.1+0.8+7.4-5.1
South 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw34%16%27%24%+9.6-2.1-5.4-2.1
South 1, 2 honbaExhaustive draw44%14%20%22%+6.2-2.0-0.7-3.5
South 1, 3 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Honda49%13%19%19%+20.0-4.4-1.8-13.8
South 1, 4 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 4,00071%8%13%8%-6.3-4.1+18.2-7.8
South 2Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,00066%6%22%6%-3.8-20.4-14.7+38.9
South 3Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,00063%0%14%23%+5.1+13.0-15.4-2.7
South 4Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda78%2%3%17%+12.0-7.6+0.2-4.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)