Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/15 Table B Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,800 from Megumu Aikawa | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +18.9 | -2.0 | -17.0 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 23% | 14% | 25% | +5.6 | +2.6 | -4.2 | -4.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 24% | 13% | 21% | -2.4 | -5.0 | +6.7 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 41% | 20% | 16% | 23% | -0.5 | -23.1 | -2.7 | +26.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 9% | 14% | 40% | -2.5 | -1.8 | -3.3 | +7.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 8% | 10% | 48% | -3.8 | -1.7 | +1.8 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 7% | 11% | 51% | -9.4 | -6.9 | +29.7 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 6% | 29% | 38% | +17.7 | -4.4 | -7.5 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 41% | 4% | 23% | 32% | +29.5 | -18.5 | -4.1 | -6.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 7,700 from Kei Nakabayashi | 71% | 1% | 12% | 16% | +15.2 | +1.5 | +2.9 | -19.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 87% | 0% | 8% | 4% | +24.2 | -8.1 | -9.6 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -11.0 | +12.1 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Megumu Aikawa | 97% | 0% | 2% | 1% | +0.1 | +16.8 | -17.6 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -3.2 | -6.6 | -1.6 | +11.4 |
| South 3 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 3,000 | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -1.4 | -3.1 | +7.4 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 5,200 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -0.8 | +10.1 | -10.2 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -1.4 | -11.8 | +31.7 | -18.6 |