Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/15 Table B Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,800 from Aikawa Megumu | 27% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +17.8 | -2.7 | -17.3 | +2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 39% | 22% | 15% | 25% | +4.1 | +1.8 | -1.1 | -4.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 43% | 23% | 14% | 21% | -3.5 | -1.6 | +5.5 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 40% | 21% | 17% | 21% | +2.3 | -26.5 | -3.9 | +28.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 40% | 7% | 13% | 40% | -3.5 | -0.6 | -4.1 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 35% | 7% | 9% | 49% | -6.1 | -0.2 | +1.9 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 7% | 10% | 54% | -8.9 | -7.0 | +31.0 | -15.1 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 7% | 30% | 40% | +19.4 | -3.6 | -7.2 | -8.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 42% | 5% | 23% | 31% | +29.0 | -20.0 | -4.1 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 71% | 1% | 12% | 16% | +15.1 | +1.5 | +2.1 | -18.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 87% | 1% | 8% | 5% | +24.0 | -6.8 | -10.1 | -7.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -10.4 | +11.2 | +0.9 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Aikawa Megumu | 97% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -0.1 | +14.8 | -17.8 | +3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 97% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -3.6 | -5.1 | -1.7 | +10.3 |
| South 3 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 3,000 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -0.8 | -2.7 | +7.5 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 5,200 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -0.8 | +10.2 | -10.4 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -1.5 | -12.0 | +31.1 | -17.7 |