Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/16 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +47.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +6.4 | -1.1 | -2.9 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +47.6 | -15.9 | -17.7 | -14.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 12% | 9% | 10% | -11.0 | -8.2 | -4.4 | +23.5 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 59% | 9% | 9% | 23% | -1.2 | +29.5 | -25.3 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 55% | 20% | 4% | 21% | +7.6 | -8.8 | +0.5 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Miura Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 65% | 13% | 3% | 19% | -26.1 | +2.9 | +19.9 | +3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 41% | 21% | 9% | 29% | +12.3 | -9.3 | -2.1 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 15% | 6% | 25% | -6.8 | +25.7 | -5.2 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Miura Tomohiro | 46% | 31% | 6% | 17% | -2.7 | +10.4 | -8.5 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 40% | 3% | 15% | +27.5 | -17.5 | -4.3 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 79% | 12% | 2% | 7% | +7.1 | +0.9 | -4.3 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 91% | 4% | 0% | 5% | +6.1 | +1.4 | -1.2 | -6.3 |