Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/16 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +40.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -6.9 | +10.0 | -0.2 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 33% | 25% | 22% | -2.4 | -4.1 | -2.4 | +8.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 19% | 29% | 23% | 29% | -22.2 | +29.0 | -4.3 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 8% | 55% | 15% | 23% | +39.1 | +1.6 | -2.8 | -37.9 |
| South 1 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 25% | 56% | 13% | 6% | +4.5 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 55% | 14% | 3% | -15.4 | -4.2 | +24.5 | -4.9 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 51% | 28% | 4% | -5.9 | -15.3 | -5.1 | +26.4 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 18% | 38% | 29% | 15% | -35.4 | -8.7 | +40.4 | +3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 14% | 77% | 8% | +3.0 | +32.0 | -16.2 | -18.9 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 56% | 40% | 3% | -9.9 | -21.8 | +27.4 | +4.3 |