Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/16 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -9.6 | +11.3 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 33% | 22% | 26% | +2.3 | -4.7 | -2.6 | +5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 22% | 27% | 22% | 29% | -24.8 | +27.6 | -3.2 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Ishii Kazuma ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 7% | 53% | 15% | 25% | +39.6 | +2.3 | -1.8 | -40.1 |
| South 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 25% | 55% | 14% | 6% | +5.2 | -1.9 | +0.2 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 53% | 14% | 5% | -15.7 | -3.1 | +23.8 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 50% | 30% | 4% | -7.8 | -14.2 | -4.7 | +26.6 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 17% | 38% | 30% | 15% | -34.5 | -7.8 | +39.2 | +3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 16% | 75% | 8% | +3.6 | +31.6 | -15.1 | -20.1 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 58% | 40% | 2% | -10.2 | -22.4 | +26.8 | +5.8 |