Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/19 Game 1

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +31.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Daisuke Suzuki● Akina Mizuhara● Shingo Hori● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Daisuke● Akina● Shingo● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAkina Mizuhara
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Akina Mizuhara
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara26%25%25%24%-31.8+31.9-1.5+1.4
East 2Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki7%50%21%23%+1.2-3.0+22.5-20.8
East 3Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori8%45%36%11%+13.4+5.6-17.1-1.9
East 4Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori12%54%24%11%+1.5+2.0-2.5-1.0
South 1Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara13%57%20%10%-33.7+1.4-1.6+33.9
South 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki1%58%17%24%-0.1+17.1-0.4-16.5
South 2, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara0%79%11%10%-11.7-2.3-5.0+19.0
South 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,0000%76%8%16%-0.9+8.1-7.0-0.1
South 4Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori0%89%1%11%0.0+6.0-3.5-2.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)