Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+85.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Nakada Kana tsumo 24,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +47.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -4.1 | +2.3 | +27.4 | -25.6 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 19% | 25% | 44% | 12% | +10.0 | -3.7 | -8.5 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 21% | 38% | 14% | -5.7 | -5.9 | +16.5 | -5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 24,000 | 21% | 16% | 52% | 10% | -18.5 | -16.2 | +47.5 | -12.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 2% | 95% | 1% | +3.2 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 3% | 2% | 93% | 2% | +20.1 | +0.8 | +0.1 | -21.0 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 1% | 93% | 0% | -7.1 | -2.1 | +11.1 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | +0.8 | -2.8 | +3.1 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +11.1 | -3.2 | -5.0 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.4 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.2 | -2.8 | -1.0 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +3.2 | +1.5 | +0.4 | -5.1 |