Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+85.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kana Nakada tsumo 24,000, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -3.0 | +2.0 | +22.9 | -21.9 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada | 21% | 23% | 42% | 13% | +8.9 | -2.8 | -6.7 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 22% | 36% | 14% | -5.7 | -4.9 | +16.6 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 24,000 | 22% | 17% | 51% | 11% | -17.3 | -16.7 | +45.9 | -12.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 2% | 93% | 2% | +1.9 | -1.3 | -2.4 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 3% | 2% | 93% | 2% | +18.9 | +0.2 | +0.7 | -19.8 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 1% | 94% | 0% | -5.9 | -1.6 | +10.7 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +1.1 | -2.4 | +2.3 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +11.1 | -3.8 | -4.4 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.1 | -1.8 | -0.7 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.0 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +3.3 | +1.0 | +0.6 | -4.9 |