Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/20 Game 2

Tomohiro Miura finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Tomohiro Miura ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Tomohiro Miura's expected points by +20.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Tomohiro Miura● Tomohiro Honda● Hisato Sasaki● Hiroshi Daigo0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Tomohiro● Tomohiro● Hisato● Hiroshi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
East 1Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda25%24%25%26%-25.5+0.9+25.1-0.6
East 2Tomohiro Miura ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda10%24%43%23%-9.5-2.4-3.3+15.2
East 3Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,0006%20%40%35%-5.5+14.0-6.7-1.8
East 4Tomohiro Miura tsumo 3,9004%31%32%33%-0.1-4.4-4.9+9.3
East 4, 1 honbaTomohiro Miura ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki5%26%28%41%-0.7-4.1-0.4+5.1
East 4, 2 honbaTomohiro Miura ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Honda4%22%28%46%-13.6-2.5-4.1+20.3
East 4, 3 honbaHiroshi Daigo ron 6,400 from Hisato Sasaki1%16%18%64%-0.6-17.3+24.3-6.4
South 1Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda1%7%38%55%-11.8-1.6-5.7+19.1
South 2Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Miura0%3%20%77%-0.6+11.1+0.9-11.5
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%8%27%65%-0.7-7.1-3.3+11.1
South 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw0%1%18%81%+0.9-2.0+4.6-3.6
South 3, 3 honbaHiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki0%1%24%75%-0.4-4.2+9.0-4.4
South 3, 4 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki0%1%33%66%+11.9-12.2-5.6+5.9
South 4Exhaustive draw0%0%21%79%-2.0+1.4-6.1+6.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)