Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/22 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -8.1 | +12.0 | -3.8 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki ron 2,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 19% | 34% | 23% | 24% | -0.3 | +6.4 | -4.9 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 6,400 from Nagai Kosuke | 19% | 38% | 20% | 23% | -0.2 | -3.4 | -17.3 | +20.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 33% | 12% | 39% | +3.7 | -4.8 | +1.8 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 20% | 30% | 12% | 37% | +1.2 | -35.2 | +32.1 | +1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 21% | 10% | 30% | 39% | +1.8 | +5.5 | -5.9 | -1.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 23% | 14% | 24% | 39% | +0.2 | +29.7 | +0.4 | -30.4 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 24% | 33% | 26% | 17% | -2.7 | +8.8 | -6.3 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 21% | 39% | 22% | 18% | +0.8 | -49.2 | +52.5 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 11% | 3% | 78% | 9% | -2.3 | -2.0 | +5.1 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 1% | 84% | 8% | -12.0 | -10.2 | -7.5 | +29.6 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 0% | 78% | 18% | -6.7 | -3.4 | -21.8 | +31.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Nagai Kosuke | 1% | 0% | 30% | 69% | +3.5 | -2.9 | -12.1 | +11.5 |