Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/22 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.7 | +11.2 | -3.7 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 2,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 21% | 33% | 21% | 24% | -2.6 | +7.1 | -4.4 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 6,400 from Kosuke Nagai | 19% | 38% | 20% | 24% | -0.2 | -0.2 | -17.8 | +18.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 36% | 11% | 36% | +3.7 | -9.3 | +0.5 | +5.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 20% | 28% | 11% | 41% | -0.1 | -32.9 | +34.2 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 10% | 29% | 40% | +4.7 | +1.7 | -5.3 | -1.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 11% | 25% | 40% | -1.0 | +31.6 | 0.0 | -30.6 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 25% | 31% | 27% | 18% | -3.3 | +8.8 | -5.3 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 21% | 38% | 24% | 18% | +0.2 | -48.6 | +51.6 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 2% | 78% | 9% | -2.1 | -0.6 | +5.3 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 1% | 85% | 7% | -11.0 | -10.5 | -8.7 | +30.2 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 1% | 78% | 18% | -6.7 | -4.2 | -21.6 | +32.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Kosuke Nagai | 1% | 0% | 29% | 70% | +3.1 | -2.5 | -11.5 | +10.8 |