Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/22 Game 2

Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +28.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Sho Shiratori● Go Kobayashi● Kenji Katsumata● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sho● Go● Kenji● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
East 1Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi25%25%25%25%-25.9+1.2+23.0+1.7
East 2Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,70010%25%42%24%0.0-7.7-0.5+8.3
East 3Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,20010%17%42%30%-3.9-1.9-8.8+14.7
East 4Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi8%16%33%43%-23.0+0.1-5.4+28.3
East 4, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi1%10%18%70%-6.3+6.8+0.2-0.7
South 1Exhaustive draw1%12%18%69%+3.1-2.6-3.4+2.8
South 1, 1 honbaKen Sonoda tsumo 8,0001%10%15%74%-8.3-6.2+20.5-5.9
South 2Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi0%7%30%63%-8.5-5.8+20.2-5.9
South 3Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,0000%1%54%45%-2.5+20.0-18.6+1.1
South 4Exhaustive draw0%10%33%57%-1.1-5.5-9.6+16.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)