Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/22 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +27.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Kobayashi Go● Katsumata Kenji● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Kobayashi● Katsumata● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
East 1Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go26%23%26%25%-24.2+2.5+22.4-0.7
East 2Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,70012%24%41%24%-1.7-6.6-0.8+9.1
East 3Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,20010%19%41%30%-3.8-1.8-9.5+15.2
East 4Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go9%17%31%44%-22.4-2.6-2.7+27.7
East 4, 1 honbaKatsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go2%9%20%69%-6.8+8.0-0.7-0.5
South 1Draw1%11%17%71%+2.3-1.9-4.2+3.8
South 1, 1 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 8,0001%10%14%75%-8.1-6.3+20.6-6.3
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go0%7%28%64%-8.5-6.4+22.0-7.1
South 3Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,0000%1%55%44%-2.4+20.4-18.00.0
South 4Draw0%10%36%54%-1.2-5.5-11.4+18.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)