Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/22 Table B Game 1

Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+65.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +50.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Daigo Hiroshi● Okada Sayaka● Shimoishi Geki● HIRO Shibata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daigo● Okada● Shimoishi● HIRO
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOkada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
East 1Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata26%25%25%25%+27.5+1.7-0.9-28.2
East 1, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,00046%23%21%10%-10.5+20.1-3.8-5.9
East 2Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,00035%37%20%8%+20.9-13.4-5.4-2.0
East 3Draw56%23%14%7%+1.1+7.1-5.5-2.7
East 4, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,00058%27%10%5%-8.0+24.2-5.0-11.2
South 1Draw42%50%7%1%+2.0-3.1+2.9-1.8
South 1, 1 honbaOkada Sayaka ron 1,500 from HIRO Shibata45%46%8%2%+7.7-2.8-0.9-3.9
South 1, 2 honbaShimoishi Geki tsumo 8,00054%40%6%1%-9.5-4.0+17.7-4.2
South 2Shimoishi Geki tsumo 4,00047%38%14%1%+0.3-7.6+8.5-1.2
South 3Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,00049%30%21%1%+20.1-5.2-13.7-1.1
South 4Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata82%14%4%1%-32.1+50.7-4.7-13.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)