Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/22 Table B Game 1

Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+65.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +50.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Hiroshi Daigo● Sayaka Okada● Geki Shimoishi● HIRO Shibata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hiroshi● Sayaka● Geki● HIRO
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
East 1Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata27%25%22%26%+29.7+0.1+2.2-32.0
East 1, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,00048%21%21%9%-14.4+22.6-5.0-3.2
East 2Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,00034%39%19%8%+23.5-14.1-4.7-4.8
East 3Exhaustive draw58%23%14%5%-0.2+7.2-5.6-1.5
East 4, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,00058%27%10%5%-9.8+24.1-4.8-9.5
South 1Exhaustive draw41%51%6%2%+2.8-2.9+2.8-2.7
South 1, 1 honbaSayaka Okada ron 1,500 from HIRO Shibata45%46%7%2%+9.0-3.9-2.3-2.7
South 1, 2 honbaGeki Shimoishi tsumo 8,00055%39%5%1%-10.3-3.3+17.8-4.3
South 2Geki Shimoishi tsumo 4,00046%39%14%1%+0.7-7.1+8.2-1.8
South 3Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,00049%31%18%1%+19.2-6.0-11.7-1.5
South 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata81%13%5%0%-31.6+50.7-5.1-14.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)