Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/22 Table B Game 2

Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +36.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Kazuma Ishii● Daisuke Suzuki● Shota Akutsu● Sayaka Kayamori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazuma● Daisuke● Shota● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Kazuma Ishii
1st-place chance
Shota Akutsu
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Kazuma Ishii
Expected pt change
Shota Akutsu
Expected pt change
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
East 1Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,00024%25%24%27%-12.3-8.3+26.2-5.6
East 2Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu16%20%42%22%+0.6-2.6-16.1+18.1
East 3Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,00017%17%31%36%-10.6-9.7+31.5-11.2
East 3, 1 honbaKazuma Ishii tsumo 12,00010%10%58%22%-10.2+36.5-16.3-9.9
East 4Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,0007%34%40%18%-4.8+24.5-6.7-13.0
South 1Exhaustive draw5%60%27%8%+4.5-1.6-1.5-1.4
South 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw6%58%28%9%+4.8-1.1-0.7-3.0
South 1, 2 honbaSayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki7%57%29%7%-15.1+0.6-1.4+16.0
South 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Shota Akutsu2%59%26%13%+3.5+4.8-6.9-1.4
South 3Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,0002%71%17%11%-6.2+5.6-12.3+12.9
South 4Shota Akutsu ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki0%83%4%13%-4.9+7.5+14.3-16.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)