Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/22 Table B Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -12.3 | -8.3 | +26.2 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 16% | 20% | 42% | 22% | +0.6 | -2.6 | -16.1 | +18.1 |
| East 3 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 17% | 31% | 36% | -10.6 | -9.7 | +31.5 | -11.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 10% | 58% | 22% | -10.2 | +36.5 | -16.3 | -9.9 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 34% | 40% | 18% | -4.8 | +24.5 | -6.7 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 60% | 27% | 8% | +4.5 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 58% | 28% | 9% | +4.8 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 7% | 57% | 29% | 7% | -15.1 | +0.6 | -1.4 | +16.0 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Shota Akutsu | 2% | 59% | 26% | 13% | +3.5 | +4.8 | -6.9 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 71% | 17% | 11% | -6.2 | +5.6 | -12.3 | +12.9 |
| South 4 | Shota Akutsu ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 83% | 4% | 13% | -4.9 | +7.5 | +14.3 | -16.8 |