Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +8.2 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -15.5 | -4.0 | -6.9 | +26.4 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 18% | 20% | 18% | 45% | -30.8 | -4.6 | +32.9 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 5% | 14% | 37% | 43% | +1.5 | -2.2 | -5.2 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 12% | 32% | 51% | -3.5 | -3.5 | +18.0 | -11.0 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 4% | 9% | 52% | 35% | -4.7 | -1.7 | +17.3 | -10.9 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 1% | 6% | 74% | 19% | -2.9 | -4.7 | -9.5 | +17.1 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 2% | 62% | 36% | +14.7 | -4.4 | +8.6 | -18.8 |
| South 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 1% | 85% | 14% | +11.4 | -13.8 | +6.5 | -4.1 |