Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +5.6 | -1.6 | -2.4 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -14.1 | -7.4 | -7.3 | +28.8 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada | 18% | 19% | 17% | 46% | -30.3 | -2.8 | +33.1 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 13% | 40% | 43% | +1.7 | -1.7 | -3.4 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 13% | 36% | 46% | -3.7 | -5.0 | +15.1 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 9% | 52% | 35% | -4.2 | -1.4 | +19.2 | -13.6 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 5% | 78% | 17% | -2.6 | -4.8 | -11.8 | +19.2 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 2% | 61% | 37% | +13.8 | -3.7 | +8.9 | -19.1 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 86% | 14% | +11.9 | -14.3 | +6.2 | -3.9 |