Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/23 Table B Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -2.7 | +11.4 | +0.9 | -9.6 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Kei Nakabayashi | 22% | 32% | 26% | 20% | +8.9 | -2.0 | -9.3 | +2.4 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 28% | 31% | 19% | 21% | +25.0 | +1.0 | -21.9 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 28% | 7% | 16% | -1.2 | -3.9 | -2.4 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 25% | 6% | 20% | -14.9 | -12.7 | -11.0 | +38.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 29% | 14% | 4% | 53% | -1.3 | +14.7 | -0.1 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 27% | 4% | 39% | -7.5 | +12.3 | -3.1 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 36% | 3% | 37% | -3.1 | -6.9 | -0.5 | +10.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 27% | 3% | 50% | -4.5 | +20.1 | -5.5 | -10.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 57% | 0% | 29% | -1.9 | -12.5 | +1.3 | +13.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 33% | 0% | 53% | -8.1 | -13.9 | -2.5 | +24.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 7% | 0% | 92% | -2.9 | +1.4 | -0.9 | +2.3 |