Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/23 Table B Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Futoshi Watanabe ron 24,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +61.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -8.2 | -3.8 | -1.9 | +13.9 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 22% | 22% | 37% | +12.3 | -6.3 | -2.6 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 18% | 22% | 33% | -5.4 | -28.4 | -3.3 | +37.0 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 4% | 13% | 68% | -8.2 | +30.8 | -8.8 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 15% | 12% | 57% | -17.5 | -4.0 | -2.6 | +24.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 7% | 6% | 86% | -5.1 | +3.2 | +4.6 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 24,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 8% | 8% | 82% | -37.8 | -8.8 | +61.2 | -14.6 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 54% | 46% | +6.4 | -2.5 | +1.1 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 65% | 35% | -3.4 | +12.3 | +11.8 | -20.7 |