Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/23 Table B Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Watanabe Futoshi ron 24,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +63.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -9.0 | -1.7 | -3.7 | +14.5 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 22% | 23% | 36% | +11.1 | -6.2 | -2.4 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 27% | 17% | 23% | 33% | -5.5 | -30.1 | -0.3 | +35.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 4% | 14% | 68% | -10.0 | +32.4 | -10.1 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 16% | 12% | 58% | -14.8 | -4.2 | -4.0 | +23.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 7% | 6% | 85% | -4.8 | +2.0 | +3.4 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 24,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 7% | 7% | 85% | -39.4 | -7.2 | +63.0 | -16.4 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 54% | 45% | +7.1 | -3.2 | +0.7 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 65% | 35% | -3.2 | +12.3 | +12.1 | -21.1 |