Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/26 Game 1
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +22.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -1.5 | -21.1 | +22.4 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 13% | 40% | 25% | -5.7 | -11.1 | +22.9 | -6.1 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 14% | 8% | 62% | 16% | +22.5 | +1.1 | -0.2 | -23.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 5% | 61% | 8% | +2.3 | -6.2 | +0.1 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,000 | 29% | 4% | 60% | 8% | -3.7 | -5.3 | -2.5 | +11.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 3% | 58% | 12% | +5.3 | +0.3 | +0.5 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 32% | 3% | 58% | 7% | -11.6 | +6.7 | +4.3 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 18% | 5% | 69% | 7% | -12.2 | -5.7 | +17.1 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,300 from Kazuma Ishii | 3% | 0% | 92% | 4% | +6.2 | -4.9 | +0.9 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -5.7 | +2.3 | +0.9 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -11.5 | -18.0 | -3.2 | +32.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 0% | 0% | 89% | 10% | +6.3 | -8.4 | +5.3 | -3.3 |