Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/26 Game 1

Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +24.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Hagiwara Masato● Takeuchi Genta● Ishii Kazuma● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hagiwara● Takeuchi● Ishii● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma26%26%24%25%-1.7-20.9+21.4+1.2
East 2Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,00023%14%40%24%-6.5-11.9+24.2-5.9
East 3Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori13%6%64%17%+24.6+0.5-1.3-23.8
East 4Draw27%5%61%7%+0.2-5.0+0.4+4.4
East 4, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,00028%4%61%8%-4.1-3.9-2.7+10.8
East 4, 2 honbaDraw26%4%58%12%+9.0-2.7-1.4-4.8
South 1, 3 honbaIshii Kazuma ron 3,200 from Takeuchi Genta33%3%57%7%-13.6+8.4+5.4-0.2
South 2Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Takeuchi Genta18%5%69%8%-12.4-6.4+17.7+1.1
South 3Takeuchi Genta ron 1,300 from Ishii Kazuma3%0%93%4%+6.1-5.2+0.4-1.3
South 4Draw1%0%96%3%-4.6+2.5+1.3+0.8
South 4, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma0%0%96%3%-12.0-18.1-2.5+32.5
South 4, 2 honbaTakeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma0%0%90%10%+6.0-8.3+4.7-2.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)