Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/26 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+84.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Aikawa Megumu, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Aikawa Megumu | 27% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -4.9 | +0.7 | +22.3 | -18.1 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 22% | 22% | 40% | 15% | +0.1 | -19.8 | +21.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Aikawa Megumu | 19% | 9% | 61% | 11% | -0.2 | +19.3 | -1.2 | -17.9 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 17% | 60% | 6% | -2.5 | -1.3 | +8.7 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 12% | 13% | 72% | 3% | -1.7 | -4.7 | +7.2 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Aikawa Megumu | 6% | 9% | 83% | 3% | +1.6 | -4.0 | +8.1 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 3% | 1% | 95% | 1% | +5.9 | -33.1 | +19.9 | +7.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Aikawa Megumu | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +7.2 | +4.6 | -1.6 | -10.2 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.2 | +7.8 | 0.0 | -8.0 |