Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/26 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+84.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +21.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 23% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -0.2 | -1.3 | +21.3 | -19.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 21% | 24% | 42% | 13% | +1.7 | -22.1 | +20.6 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 18% | 8% | 62% | 12% | -0.6 | +20.3 | -0.9 | -18.8 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 16% | 62% | 5% | -0.4 | -2.4 | +7.7 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 12% | 72% | 3% | -4.2 | -3.9 | +8.2 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Megumu Aikawa | 6% | 8% | 84% | 3% | +1.9 | -3.8 | +7.9 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 2% | 1% | 95% | 1% | +5.8 | -34.3 | +19.8 | +8.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +7.7 | +6.0 | -1.8 | -11.9 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | +7.4 | +0.3 | -7.7 |