Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/27 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+49.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Shimoishi Geki, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -11.1 | +21.5 | -4.7 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 41% | 21% | 21% | -2.1 | -1.3 | -0.9 | +4.2 |
| East 3 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 40% | 20% | 24% | -0.3 | +7.0 | -7.0 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 47% | 14% | 24% | +24.3 | -2.7 | -4.4 | -17.2 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 43% | 13% | 14% | -6.6 | -3.1 | +13.6 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 41% | 21% | 13% | -9.9 | -24.2 | -13.4 | +47.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 18% | 17% | 14% | 50% | -4.2 | +4.4 | +7.0 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Aikawa Megumu | 17% | 23% | 19% | 41% | -1.5 | -1.9 | +32.2 | -28.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,100 | 17% | 21% | 42% | 21% | +13.8 | -3.6 | +3.2 | -13.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 21% | 17% | 49% | 13% | +6.8 | +5.9 | -16.1 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 24% | 27% | 17% | -3.3 | -2.0 | -1.7 | +7.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Shimoishi Geki | 30% | 25% | 28% | 18% | +42.9 | -37.4 | -1.6 | -3.8 |