Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/27 Game 2

Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Aiko Hinata● HIRO Shibata● Kotaro Uchikawa● Geki Shimoishi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Aiko● HIRO● Kotaro● Geki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAiko Hinata
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Aiko Hinata
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,20023%27%24%26%-8.2-3.8+15.0-3.0
East 2Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi19%24%34%24%+24.5-3.6+0.7-21.5
East 3Exhaustive draw36%19%34%12%-0.7+6.6-4.4-1.4
East 4, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi35%23%29%13%-0.9-2.6+16.1-12.6
South 1Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,00031%19%44%6%+32.6-8.9-15.9-7.8
South 1, 1 honbaAiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi66%10%21%3%+4.4-0.5-1.0-2.9
South 1, 2 honbaHIRO Shibata tsumo 8,00071%9%18%2%-11.0+25.0-7.2-6.9
South 2Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa59%24%16%1%+17.6-7.3-10.6+0.3
South 3HIRO Shibata ron 1,000 from Geki Shimoishi84%8%7%1%+4.4+3.5-6.2-1.8
South 4Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi93%6%0%1%+2.7-18.6+27.0-11.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)