Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -8.2 | -3.8 | +15.0 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 19% | 24% | 34% | 24% | +24.5 | -3.6 | +0.7 | -21.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 19% | 34% | 12% | -0.7 | +6.6 | -4.4 | -1.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 35% | 23% | 29% | 13% | -0.9 | -2.6 | +16.1 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 19% | 44% | 6% | +32.6 | -8.9 | -15.9 | -7.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 66% | 10% | 21% | 3% | +4.4 | -0.5 | -1.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 9% | 18% | 2% | -11.0 | +25.0 | -7.2 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 59% | 24% | 16% | 1% | +17.6 | -7.3 | -10.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 1,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 84% | 8% | 7% | 1% | +4.4 | +3.5 | -6.2 | -1.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 93% | 6% | 0% | 1% | +2.7 | -18.6 | +27.0 | -11.2 |