Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.6 | -4.8 | +13.0 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 20% | 22% | 34% | 24% | +22.9 | -3.1 | +0.6 | -20.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 35% | 18% | 34% | 12% | -1.4 | +8.9 | -2.2 | -5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 34% | 25% | 32% | 10% | -1.1 | -3.3 | +13.4 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 20% | 43% | 6% | +33.3 | -10.5 | -15.9 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 67% | 10% | 20% | 3% | +6.0 | -0.2 | -1.4 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 9% | 17% | 2% | -12.3 | +24.3 | -6.2 | -5.8 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 59% | 23% | 16% | 2% | +17.2 | -5.7 | -11.0 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 1,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 84% | 8% | 7% | 1% | +4.8 | +2.5 | -5.8 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 94% | 5% | 1% | 1% | +2.3 | -18.0 | +26.8 | -11.1 |