Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/29 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 5 honba: Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +55.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 25% | 26% | 22% | 27% | -4.0 | -19.3 | +22.4 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 14% | 39% | 26% | -6.7 | -10.7 | -5.7 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 14% | 8% | 34% | 44% | -18.0 | +1.0 | -3.6 | +20.5 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 6% | 23% | 65% | +23.3 | -7.5 | -2.9 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 6% | 25% | 53% | -9.1 | +1.9 | +6.1 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 6% | 30% | 54% | -20.9 | +62.8 | -19.0 | -22.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 4% | 50% | 17% | 29% | +45.1 | -49.7 | -1.6 | +6.2 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000 | 31% | 11% | 20% | 38% | -23.5 | -15.1 | +63.0 | -24.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 1% | 86% | 9% | +8.3 | -2.8 | -0.1 | -5.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 90% | 7% | -5.6 | -1.2 | -3.1 | +10.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 0% | 85% | 11% | +3.8 | -0.7 | -5.7 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 1% | 78% | 15% | -0.8 | +4.4 | -8.4 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 3% | 65% | 19% | -38.6 | +6.8 | -23.8 | +55.6 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -5.4 | +7.9 | -2.7 | +0.2 |