Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.7 | +10.8 | -1.7 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 34% | 24% | 23% | +16.7 | -3.9 | -14.3 | +1.4 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 28% | 16% | 25% | -4.8 | -2.8 | +13.9 | -6.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 27% | 25% | 21% | +11.1 | -3.4 | -5.8 | -1.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 25% | 19% | 20% | -9.4 | +31.6 | -5.0 | -17.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 24% | 52% | 15% | 9% | +1.7 | -8.0 | +3.9 | +2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 45% | 16% | 11% | +9.7 | -4.0 | -4.2 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 36% | 39% | 15% | 11% | +5.4 | -2.1 | -1.5 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 40% | 36% | 13% | 10% | +36.3 | -7.9 | -29.7 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 79% | 15% | 2% | 4% | -17.5 | +3.6 | +17.5 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 64% | 24% | 6% | 7% | +2.8 | -3.1 | -19.2 | +19.4 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 68% | 19% | 3% | 10% | -36.2 | +9.3 | +25.0 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 28% | 42% | 12% | 19% | -8.2 | +19.2 | -8.1 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,900 from Suzuki Yu | 12% | 72% | 3% | 13% | -17.7 | +1.6 | -0.3 | +16.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 6% | 75% | 3% | 16% | -2.7 | -1.6 | -6.0 | +10.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 71% | 1% | 24% | -2.3 | -4.8 | -0.2 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 3% | 62% | 1% | 34% | -13.1 | -17.7 | +3.1 | +27.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 83% | -10.1 | -6.0 | +10.8 | +5.3 |