Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/29 Table B Game 1
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -14.2 | -6.9 | +26.2 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 16% | 19% | 43% | 22% | +2.6 | -3.6 | -23.7 | +24.7 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 18% | 16% | 25% | 41% | -3.2 | -29.6 | +31.5 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 11% | 4% | 48% | 37% | +1.0 | -0.1 | -11.1 | +10.2 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada | 12% | 4% | 36% | 48% | -1.1 | +33.0 | -35.3 | +3.4 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 12% | 16% | 14% | 59% | -22.7 | -1.2 | +1.8 | +22.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 8% | 8% | 84% | +2.8 | +4.4 | -4.5 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 10% | 9% | 81% | -2.8 | -7.2 | +5.8 | +4.1 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | -10.6 | -16.4 | +55.2 | -28.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada | 0% | 1% | 63% | 36% | +28.4 | -10.4 | -40.0 | +22.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 1% | 7% | 89% | -1.4 | -4.9 | +2.8 | +3.4 |