Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/29 Table B Game 1
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -11.3 | -7.7 | +24.5 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 16% | 20% | 43% | 20% | -0.1 | -4.4 | -20.5 | +25.0 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 17% | 16% | 26% | 41% | +0.9 | -27.6 | +28.5 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 14% | 5% | 48% | 33% | -1.4 | -1.2 | -10.0 | +12.7 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 13% | 4% | 37% | 47% | +0.4 | +30.9 | -36.2 | +4.9 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 14% | 16% | 12% | 58% | -23.0 | -0.1 | +1.4 | +21.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 8% | 7% | 84% | +2.3 | +5.0 | -5.1 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 10% | 7% | 82% | -1.8 | -7.3 | +6.9 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | -11.8 | -17.1 | +54.3 | -25.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 1% | 60% | 39% | +28.2 | -9.1 | -39.2 | +20.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 4% | 1% | 7% | 88% | -1.8 | -5.3 | +3.4 | +3.7 |