Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+87.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 18,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -11.6 | -1.9 | +13.0 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 24% | 33% | 24% | -7.3 | -12.4 | -2.8 | +22.6 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 9,600 | 12% | 15% | 30% | 43% | -7.4 | -7.2 | +25.3 | -10.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 10% | 52% | 29% | -7.0 | -8.5 | +25.6 | -10.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 18,000 from Shingo Hori | 4% | 4% | 77% | 15% | +4.2 | +6.3 | +28.3 | -38.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -0.9 | -2.2 | -1.6 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 96% | 1% | -1.6 | +6.5 | -0.1 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -10.1 | +14.5 | -1.2 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +5.0 | -1.4 | +0.2 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.9 | +1.2 | +3.8 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +21.2 | -0.2 | -1.7 | -19.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -3.2 | +3.4 | -1.6 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -9.2 | +11.8 | +0.8 | -3.4 |