Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+81.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +6.2 | +0.2 | -5.5 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 25% | 21% | 26% | +3.1 | +3.4 | -0.6 | -5.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 28% | 20% | 21% | -8.0 | +15.4 | -3.1 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 39% | 17% | 19% | -11.0 | +29.0 | -8.3 | -9.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 66% | 10% | 11% | -2.1 | -0.8 | +3.9 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 11% | 67% | 12% | 10% | -30.7 | -4.2 | +33.6 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 18,000 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 58% | 28% | 10% | -27.8 | -12.7 | +40.8 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 30% | 66% | 4% | +0.1 | -1.6 | +1.6 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 26% | 68% | 6% | -5.1 | +33.1 | -21.2 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 65% | 32% | 3% | -6.1 | -5.9 | -7.0 | +19.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 62% | 30% | 8% | +9.4 | +3.8 | +1.0 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 0% | 69% | 28% | 2% | +3.1 | -2.5 | +0.3 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 67% | 30% | 3% | -3.6 | -0.7 | +2.1 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 65% | 32% | 3% | -2.0 | -3.0 | -5.2 | +10.2 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 68% | 27% | 5% | -6.2 | -31.9 | +46.5 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 6% | 93% | 1% | -2.2 | -3.1 | +6.9 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 2% | 97% | 1% | -0.6 | +3.3 | -1.6 | -1.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 98% | 1% | +9.5 | -1.7 | -1.0 | -6.8 |