Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+81.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +47.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +7.5 | -0.2 | -5.8 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 24% | 20% | 25% | +3.1 | +3.8 | +0.2 | -7.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 5,200 | 33% | 27% | 21% | 19% | -9.4 | +15.3 | -4.0 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 38% | 17% | 20% | -10.8 | +29.9 | -8.4 | -10.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 65% | 11% | 11% | -2.1 | -2.4 | +3.0 | +1.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 12% | 65% | 12% | 11% | -31.8 | -3.7 | +35.2 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 18,000 from Shingo Hori | 3% | 57% | 30% | 10% | -28.3 | -10.9 | +40.7 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 29% | 66% | 5% | +0.4 | -2.9 | +2.3 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 26% | 69% | 5% | -4.3 | +33.6 | -22.6 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 66% | 31% | 2% | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.9 | +19.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 62% | 30% | 8% | +9.1 | +3.2 | +2.4 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 68% | 30% | 3% | +2.5 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 67% | 30% | 3% | -3.1 | -1.3 | +2.5 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 65% | 32% | 2% | -1.7 | -2.2 | -6.5 | +10.3 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 69% | 25% | 5% | -6.4 | -32.3 | +47.6 | -8.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 5% | 94% | 1% | -1.9 | -3.4 | +6.8 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 98% | 1% | -0.8 | +2.7 | -1.7 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +9.7 | -1.2 | -1.0 | -7.5 |