Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/30 Table B Game 1
Kosuke Nagai finished 1st (+73.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Kosuke Nagai's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 23% | 26% | 27% | +29.6 | -24.9 | -2.5 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 3,000 | 47% | 10% | 21% | 22% | +8.4 | -3.8 | -2.7 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 8% | 18% | 20% | +5.7 | -0.3 | -2.5 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 2,100 | 59% | 8% | 17% | 17% | +8.6 | -3.8 | -2.5 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 68% | 6% | 13% | 14% | -1.6 | +3.7 | +1.5 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Kosuke Nagai ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 67% | 7% | 14% | 13% | +14.9 | -0.9 | -11.1 | -2.9 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 83% | 3% | 8% | 7% | +1.2 | +0.9 | -21.0 | +18.9 |
| East 4 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 2% | 2% | 12% | +11.9 | -2.6 | -0.6 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 95% | 1% | 1% | 4% | -1.5 | +21.5 | -1.6 | -18.4 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +0.7 | -23.3 | +20.9 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 97% | 0% | 1% | 1% | +0.6 | -2.8 | -13.2 | +15.4 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -4.7 | -6.0 | -6.9 | +17.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | -2.3 | -19.4 | +7.0 | +14.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 0% | 0% | 11% | +1.8 | +7.7 | -0.1 | -9.4 |