Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/30 Table B Game 1

Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+73.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +30.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Nagai Kosuke● Suzuki Taro● Hagiwara Masato● Miura Tomohiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Nagai● Suzuki● Hagiwara● Miura
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNagai Kosuke
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Nagai Kosuke
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
East 1Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro25%25%25%26%+30.8-29.0-1.4-0.4
East 1, 1 honbaNagai Kosuke tsumo 3,00048%10%21%22%+8.1-1.9-2.3-3.9
East 1, 2 honbaDraw55%9%18%18%+6.4-1.1-3.4-1.9
East 1, 3 honbaNagai Kosuke tsumo 2,10061%7%16%16%+5.0-3.2-0.4-1.4
East 1, 4 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Miura Tomohiro65%6%15%15%+1.0+4.0+0.4-5.4
East 2Nagai Kosuke ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato67%6%14%13%+14.5-1.3-12.7-0.5
East 3Miura Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato83%3%7%8%+0.5+2.0-19.9+17.4
East 4Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,00083%3%2%13%+13.3-3.3-1.2-8.8
South 1Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro95%1%1%3%-1.3+21.9-2.2-18.3
South 2Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro96%2%1%2%+0.6-24.6+21.9+2.0
South 3Miura Tomohiro ron 3,200 from Hagiwara Masato98%0%1%1%+1.3-2.2-12.9+13.8
South 4Miura Tomohiro tsumo 12,00099%0%0%1%-5.4-5.9-7.2+18.5
South 4, 1 honbaMiura Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro96%0%0%4%-2.4-19.4+7.0+14.8
South 4, 2 honbaSuzuki Taro tsumo 8,00090%0%0%10%+1.6+7.8-0.3-9.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)