Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
1/30 Table B Game 2
Aikawa Megumu finished 1st (+80.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000, which moved Aikawa Megumu's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +7.2 | -0.6 | -2.6 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Aikawa Megumu | 31% | 25% | 23% | 22% | -6.6 | -1.7 | +4.4 | +3.9 |
| East 2 | Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 22% | 26% | 26% | +27.1 | -2.9 | -1.4 | -22.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 48% | 18% | 22% | 12% | -3.9 | -4.0 | +4.8 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 44% | 15% | 26% | 14% | -9.0 | -8.9 | +25.0 | -7.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 34% | 11% | 47% | 9% | +5.3 | -2.5 | -5.1 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 10% | 42% | 12% | +27.7 | -5.7 | -8.1 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Aikawa Megumu ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 68% | 5% | 24% | 3% | +20.2 | +3.6 | -3.8 | -20.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 2% | 11% | 0% | -1.5 | -3.1 | -1.7 | +6.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 89% | 2% | 9% | 0% | +0.5 | -1.7 | +6.1 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 90% | 0% | 10% | 1% | +12.4 | +1.7 | -13.3 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.6 | +3.3 | +1.9 | -4.6 |