Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

1/30 Table B Game 2

Megumu Aikawa finished 1st (+80.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Megumu Aikawa's expected points by +27.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Megumu Aikawa● Tomohiro Honda● Kenji Katsumata● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Megumu● Tomohiro● Kenji● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMegumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%24%25%25%+6.8+0.7-3.6-3.8
East 1, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Megumu Aikawa31%23%23%23%-6.4-1.6+5.9+2.2
East 2Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda26%24%26%24%+27.0-4.7-2.3-20.0
East 3Exhaustive draw48%17%22%13%-3.5-4.8+8.0+0.3
East 3, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 7,80045%15%27%13%-7.8-6.3+21.7-7.6
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw34%12%45%9%+5.5-3.9-4.3+2.7
East 4, 3 honbaMegumu Aikawa tsumo 8,00040%9%42%9%+24.8-5.9-8.0-10.8
South 1Megumu Aikawa ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda67%4%25%4%+20.6+4.1-4.0-20.7
South 1, 1 honbaKen Sonoda tsumo 4,00086%2%11%1%-2.2-2.7-0.9+5.8
South 2Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda87%2%10%1%+2.3-2.8+5.3-4.7
South 3Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata91%0%9%0%+12.0+2.5-13.3-1.2
South 4Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000100%0%0%0%-0.7+3.2+1.8-4.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)