Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/2 Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+63.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +27.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Megumu Aikawa● Aiko Hinata● Daisuke Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kotaro● Megumu● Aiko● Daisuke
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMegumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Aiko Hinata
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
Aiko Hinata
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%22%25%28%+7.8-2.0-0.8-5.0
East 1, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata31%22%24%24%-2.7-2.3+2.2+2.7
East 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata28%21%25%25%+2.2-21.1-0.7+19.6
East 3Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Megumu Aikawa29%9%23%39%-8.3-1.5-1.0+10.8
East 4Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00022%8%20%50%-6.7-6.1+27.0-14.2
South 1Aiko Hinata tsumo 1,50017%5%45%34%-7.4+5.4+0.8+1.2
South 2Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata11%7%46%35%+0.2-20.7+24.1-3.6
South 3Exhaustive draw4%0%76%20%-4.3+0.4-0.3+4.2
South 4, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata1%0%79%20%-1.7-3.8+13.0-7.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)