Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Miura Tomohiro | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +5.5 | -7.6 | +1.7 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 21% | 25% | 25% | +32.4 | -9.6 | -11.2 | -11.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 55% | 13% | 16% | 15% | +23.7 | -1.3 | +1.9 | -24.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 77% | 8% | 11% | 4% | -3.0 | -2.7 | +7.8 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,700 | 75% | 7% | 14% | 4% | +2.2 | -6.2 | +7.1 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 77% | 4% | 15% | 4% | +5.3 | +2.5 | -3.2 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 85% | 3% | 10% | 3% | -0.4 | +8.7 | -1.5 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 5% | 8% | 1% | -5.7 | +15.6 | -6.4 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 84% | 8% | 7% | 1% | +1.8 | -1.9 | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 90% | 3% | 7% | 1% | +5.7 | -6.5 | +0.8 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -1.3 | +21.3 | -12.6 | -7.5 |