Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +7.1 | -8.7 | +2.2 | -0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 20% | 26% | 25% | +29.4 | -8.1 | -12.7 | -8.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 54% | 14% | 15% | 17% | +26.4 | 0.0 | +1.4 | -27.8 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 77% | 8% | 11% | 4% | -4.6 | -3.9 | +9.1 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,700 | 74% | 7% | 14% | 4% | +2.2 | -5.0 | +4.1 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Aki Nikaido | 78% | 4% | 14% | 4% | +6.9 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 3% | 9% | 2% | +0.1 | +8.3 | -1.4 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 3% | 7% | 1% | -6.8 | +18.2 | -6.5 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 84% | 8% | 7% | 1% | +1.0 | -2.5 | +1.8 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 89% | 4% | 7% | 1% | +6.3 | -5.6 | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -1.2 | +20.4 | -12.7 | -6.5 |